Gains from trade liberalization with flexible extensive margin adjustment

Estimating the extensive margin of trade

Understanding and quantifying the determinants of the number of sectors or firms exporting in a given country is of relevance for the assessment of trade policies. Estimation of models for the number of sectors, however, poses a challenge because the dependent variable has both a lower and upper bound, implying that the partial effects of the explanatory variables on the conditional mean of the...

Welfare Gains from Financial Liberalization.

Financial liberalization has been a controversial issue, as empirical evidence for growth enhancing effects is mixed. Here, we find sizable welfare gains from liberalization (cost to repression), though the gain in economic growth is ambiguous. We take the view that financial liberalization is a government policy that alters the path of financial deepening, while financial deepening is endogeno...

Trade Facilitation and the Extensive Margin *

The literature on trade facilitation has mostly focused on implications for trade volumes. However, recent theoretical contributions have emphasized that trade costs – such as transaction costs related to cross-border trade procedures – affect both the traded volumes of “old” goods (the intensive margin) and the range of traded goods (the extensive margin). This paper therefore tests whether tr...

The “Gains” from Preferential Trade Liberalization in the CGE Models: Where do they Come From?

The Shrinking Gains from Global Trade Liberalization in Computable General Equilibrium Models

The latest round of world trade negotiations, launched in Doha in 2001, has come to at least a temporary halt in the aftermath of the 2005 World Trade Organization (WTO) meeting in Hong Kong. The familiar arguments about the benefits of trade liberalization have been updated and forcefully reiterated: According to the World Bank and other leading analysts, massive computer modeling exercises sh...